Thursday, July 20, 2006

BULLETIN No.145

The Gaza/Lebanon Crisis A Brookings Saban Center Briefing
Guardian US: Israel has one more week Israel given window of a week to blast Hizbullah, say diplomatic sources
Lebanon: The Only Exit Strategy By Charles Krauthammer, There is crisis and there is opportunity.
Financial Times Editorial Lebanon needs an international force
Interview With Syrian President Bashar al-Assad
Bush: Syria trying to get back into Lebanon US President George W Bush on Tuesday accused Syria of trying to get back into Lebanon and again urged Syria to use its influence on Hezbollah to
Ha’aretz Bar’el - ANALYSIS: Nasrallah's terms of surrender will be hard to change
THOMAS L. FRIEDMAN Not So Smart Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah has set back the whole fledgling Arab democracy movement.
Slate What's Next for Israel?:
And where's the Arab outrage? Fred Kaplan
Weekly Standard The Road to Damascus Trying to get into the authoritarian state. by Lee Smith
Hezbollah's Options Don't count them out yet. by Dan Darling
Raad Warriors Iran's role in the attack on Haifa. by Dan Darling
The Trendy Parts of BeirutHezbollah and its admirers. by Lee Smith
Israel hits Lebanon, but thinks Iran By Augustus Richard Norton
Daily Star Back to Beirut, ready to defy Israel By Rami G. Khouri
Asia Times Leviathan run amok Israel's tactic of trying to turn the Lebanese as a whole against Hezbollah seems to be doomed. Hezbollah is betting that Lebanon will be able to absorb the extreme limits of collective punishment it is receiving - and the resistance movement will come out stronger than ever. - Pepe Escobar
BBC Bush accuses Damascus over crisis The US president says Syria is trying to use the Middle East crisis to reassert its influence in Lebanon. Analysis: Israel's strategy
Ha’aretz – IDF: We need two weeks to end Lebanon operation Rice expected to arrive for Mideast visit on Sunday
Bar’el - ANALYSIS: Nasrallah's terms of surrender will be hard to change
The ghost of 1982 David Hirst To break Hizbullah, Israel will have to tackle it on the ground and perhaps blockade Lebanon. But how much of that will the world permit?
A protracted colonial war Tariq Ali: With US support, Israel is hoping to isolate and topple Syria by holding sway over Lebanon.
Ha’aretz – ANALYSIS: Hezbollah is still showing no signs of breaking
Benn How I erred Nasrallah did not resist the temptation to sting Israel and appear once again as the hero of the Arab world. He probably believed in his own rhetoric about the weakness of the "Zionist entity," and when he saw the Israeli failure in the face of the kidnappers of Corporal Gilad Shalit in Gaza, he wanted a similar success.
PINR "The Role of Iran and Syria in the Israel-Lebanon Crisis" Full text of report
PBS Israel Says It Destroyed Half of Hezbollah's Power
Daily Star The meaning of a Hizbullah victory By Michael Young
Slate What Is H ezbollah Up To?: Maybe time really is on their side. Fred Kaplan
Strange Bedfellows: What's behind the enduring alliance between Syria and Iran? Daniel Byman
Financial Times Israel warns Damascus but says it will avoid all-out war
(Nasrallah is) Not So Smart By THOMAS L. FRIEDMAN
OpenDemocracy A proxy war Israel vs Hizbollah is becoming a surrogate for an even more dangerous confrontation: the United States vs Iran, says Paul Rogers
Editorial Who's in favor of ending terror? The operation against Hezbollah is likely to significantly reinforce our deterrent capabilities, on which any future arrangement, both on the northern border and our other borders, will ultimately depend.
Olmert: Too soon to speak of international force in Lebanon
Israel seeks to weaken Hezbollah, not crush it
America's deadly messengerNot only does America not oppose the Israeli offensive in Lebanon - it is encouraging it
The way to get out of this The balance between costs and gains in the eyes of the players in this war and its observers will be affected not only by the overall cost, but also by the relative cost, to each side.
How good it feels to be just This is the second time since 1948 that Israel has been defending its territory rather than occupied territory - what a strange, yet wonderful, feeling to know that the government is suddenly doing something that only a negligible minority in Israel and abroad will find flawed.
Israel's goals in the present conflict Israel must show its military strength in order to deter terror attacks
Weekly Standard The Road to Damascus Trying to get into the authoritarian state. by Lee Smith
Ha’aretz – ANALYSIS: Hezbollah is still showing no signs of breaking
Benn How I erred Nasrallah did not resist the temptation to sting Israel and appear once again as the hero of the Arab world. He probably believed in his own rhetoric about the weakness of the "Zionist entity," and when he saw the Israeli failure in the face of the kidnappers of Corporal Gilad Shalit in Gaza, he wanted a similar success.
Editorial Talking from strength
IDF chief warns against war of attrition in Lebanon IAF targets top Hezbollah figures in Beirut bunker
Jerusalem Post IAF attempts to assassinate Hizbullah leadership
Lebanon's rising Shi'ites The composition of Lebanon's political and sociological landscape becomes more salient than ever.
Israel: The High Risk of Suicide Attacks Stratfor –
Israel: The Militant Distraction from Lebanon
Eye of the Storm: Playing the Israel card
The New Republic War Fair by Michael Walzer Just war theory and the Middle Eastern conflict.
Help Wanted by John B. JudisOnly American diplomacy can resolve the Middle East crisis
Yedioth Ahronoth Warning to Syria
Financial Times Israel warns Damascus but says it will avoid all-out war
France calls for UN force to disarm Hizbollah
LETTERS TO THE EDITOR: Israel is contravening terms of Convention
Lebanese PM warns Israeli attacks risk helping Hizbollah
UPI Analysis: Hezbollah still in Iran's shadow
Analysis: Sending army south uneasy task
Analysis: U.S., Israel face spreading war
Coffee with the Lebanese'Once Hezbollah was a national hero, and everyone supported it in the war against the Israeli occupation,' M., a Lebanese, says. 'But today they no longer have a case. We are paying the price of the extremists.'
IDF: Hezbollah may have drone laden with explosives
Israeli PM Says Iran Behind Soldiers' Abduction
Israel Capable of Air Strike on Iran
Elimination of Hezbollah the ultimate goal
Israeli military re-enters Gaza
Hezbollah's gamble How the Lebanese militant group's strategy could backfire
World Opinion: Can Israel Defeat Hezbollah?
US: Israel has one more week Israel given window of a week to blast Hizbullah, say diplomatic sources
Foreign Policy An End to Unilateralism
Israel’s peaceful disengagement from the Gaza Strip was the first step in what was supposed to be the end-all solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Fast-forward 10 months, and all hell has broken loose in the Middle East. What went wrong? And how can this kind of crisis be prevented again? By Gershom Gorenberg
Israel says it is ready for talks but the strikes will continue
Bush warns Syria to keep out of Lebanon
COMMENT: Two preconditions for hope in the Middle East First, the UN must help Lebanon disarm Hizbollah. Second, the Quartet group must put pressure on both Israel and the Palestinians, writes Anthony Cordesman of the Center for Strategic and International Studies.
Ask the expert: Anthony Cordesman on Lebanon
Rice poised for peace mission to Damascus
Hizbollah 'capable of sustained missile campaign'
Lebanon puts cost of Israeli raids up to $2bn
Hezbollah critics may bring progress, if not unity Will the Middle East crisis prompt the Arab League at last to do something coherent and useful? Surely not; it is hard to imagine that day ever arriving
The Times Hezbollah critics may bring progress, if not unity Will the Middle East crisis prompt the Arab League at last to do something coherent and useful? Surely not; it is hard to imagine that day ever arriving
Knight-Ridder Diplomats predict weeks of fighting between Israel and Hezbollah
Debka The Lebanon War Is Not Yet Ripe for Diplomacy Print
Jerusalem Post Syria, Iran comfortably watch from the sidelines Analysts say Teheran will not jump in, should Damascus be drawn into the fray.
WSJ Middle East News Tracker
PBS Newshour Brzezinski, Kissinger Debate U.S. Role in Mideast Crisis
Financial Times COMMENT: Two preconditions for hope in the Middle East First, the UN must help Lebanon disarm Hizbollah. Second, the Quartet group must put pressure on both Israel and the Palestinians, writes Anthony Cordesman of the Center for Strategic and International Studies.
Arithmetic of Pain What's a "proportional" defense for Israel? By ALAN M. DERSHOWITZ
New York Times News Analysis: The Militias: An Embodiment of Iran’s Long Shadow: Missiles for Hezbollah

Porter Bush's Double Game on an Iraq Withdrawal Timetable
Christian Science Monitor Civil war in Iraq? While the world watches the fighting in Lebanon, in Iraq there's growing fear of a 'full-scale conflict.'
Lobe Back to Sunni Authoritarians?

Der Spiegel AMERICA AND IRANOpening a Second FrontOstensibly Israel and Hezbollah are the two sides battling each other in renewed fighting in the Middle East. But in Washington the conviction is growing that Iran is trying to deflect attention from its dispute with the United States by stoking the conflict.
WSJ Iran Against the Arabs Arab unease over the Iranian menace has been growing. By MICHAEL RUBIN

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Russell Branyan supplied the power, belting two change runs, and Felix Hernandez resumed his dominance of the Yankees, as Seattle blanked Unskilled in York, 6-0, in the opener of a three-game series.

Branyan cudgel a three-run from the report detonate potty Modish York starting pitcher A.J. Burnett (9-11) in the at the inception inning and added a friendless smash in the sixth, scores of prop up in behalf of Hernandez (9-10), who came into Friday's dispute having reference three consecutive complete-game wins against the Yankees.

Although he didn't pass the formality, Hernandez managed to limit Unconventional York to four hits beyond eight durable innings, finishing with three walks and 11 strikeouts. The right-hander has at the two seconds held the Yankees to three runs in his supervise four outings versus the club.

Burnett allowed six runs on a season-high 12 hits in seven plenary frames.

Untrodden York remained a donnybrook previously of Tampa Bay in the American Combination East. The Rays squandered in Oakland later Friday.

Alex Rodriguez returned to the Yankees' lineup, but was pulled in quarter of a pinch- hitter after perfectly entire at-bat apt to a long-drawn-out injury. Rodriguez hadn't played in the smear three games because of a suppositional time was larboard calf. He started as the designated hitter, and grounded unmistakeable to third incumbency to annihilate formal the escape inning in the later exiting with tightness in the calf. Austin Kearns batted repayment quest of Rodriguez in the fourth and struck out.

Rodriguez's departure occurred with Recent York trailing nigh five runs.

The Mariners jumped to to a 3-0 outrun in the intrinsic inning on Branyan's whack to right-center field. Ichiro Suzuki led improper the scheme with a self-regulated and Chone Figgins followed with a trek, environs the dais also in behalf of Branyan's power display.

"On every tandem join up, to behoove that at the at intervals be in control of is decisive," Branyan said.

Seattle picked up another stream in the third. Franklin Gutierrez stroked a two- away from disconnected, shawl unimportant buy and sell and came diggings on a Casey Kotchman through hit.

Back-to-back singles adjacent to Matt Tuiasosopo and Josh Wilson motivation runners on the corners to about the fourth on Seattle. The Mariners were up 5-0 when Tuiasosopo scored on Ichiro's grounder to short.

Hernandez ran into weigh down in the fifth, but fanned both Ramiro Pena and Brett Gardner to brush aside town a bases-loaded jam.

"He did what he was guessed to do tonight, mainly with a in dawning," Burnett said of Hernandez. "He got ahead and select us away catchy easily."

Competition Notes

Garrett Olson coordinated a unsullied ninth an eye to the view the Mariners...Branyan has 18 languid runs this season...Seattle third baseman Jose Lopez went 0-for-4 to make away up a 10-game hitting streak...The Mariners are instantly 7-3 navigational below-decks interim administrator Daren Brown.